Sand Stiffness Variability Induced by Stochastic Distributions of Calcite Precipitates: A Monte Carlo-DEM Study Sun, M.1; Liu, P.F. 2; Chen, Y.X. 2; Bate, B. 2*; Xue, F. 3 1 5 2 3 Department of Real Estate and Construction, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, SAR, China; formerly, Institute of Geotechnical Engineering, College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China, 310058 Institute of Geotechnical Engineering, College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China, 310058 Department of Real Estate and Construction, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, SAR, China 10 This is the authors’ version of the paper: Sun, M., Liu, P. F., Chen, Y. X., Bate, B., & Xue, F. (2025). Sand stiffness variability induced by stochastic distributions of calcite precipitates: a Monte Carlo-DEM study. Acta Geotechnica, 25: 2539, DOI: 10.1007/s11440-025-02539-5. This file is shared for personal and academic use only, under the license CC BYNC-ND 4.0 (Non-Commercial, No Derivatives, and with an Attributed citation when you use). The final published version of this paper can be found at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11440-025-02539-5. 15 20 25 30 ABSTRACT The inclusion of calcite precipitates (CaCO3) in soft soil can improve the mechanical properties. Understanding the variability in sand stiffness due to heterogeneous precipitates is crucial for stiffness evaluation and prediction. A novel Discrete Element-Monte Carlo (DE-MC) method was proposed to quantify the sand stiffness variability induced by stochastic distributions of calcite precipitates, specifically focusing on shear wave velocity (Vs) as an indicator of soil stiffness. A total of 1972 samples were constructed to simulate stochastic spatial distributions of calcite precipitates. Through joint stochastic analysis, the preferential paths formed by calcite clusters were identified as significant contributors to Vs variability. The normalized connectivity per unity distance contact weight (Cd,n) exhibited the most correlated relation with Vs. Two weight selection methods were applicable for using Cd,n to characterize and predict Vs. The results suggest that the DE-MC method has the potential to assess the variability in sand stiffness quantitatively. Keywords Monte Carlo simulation; discrete element method; variability; shear wave velocity; calcite precipitation 1 Introduction Due to the demand for infrastructure and engineering construction, the need for various types of buildings and construction land has increased sharply. However, construction land resources are relatively limited, highlighting the significance of reinforcing and solidifying soft soil on the construction site [1, 2]. On the other hand, Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11, titled “Sustainable Cities and Communities”, advocates for an environmentally-friendly approach to 1 addressing existing soft ground soil, aiming to reach the target of carbon neutrality [3, 4]. 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 The inclusion of calcite precipitates induced by either microbes or enzymes in a porous medium represents an innovative eco-friendly method for cementing and strengthening soft soil. This approach typically results in increases in stiffness and strength, as well as reductions in hydraulic conductivity [5-8]. The shear stiffness property of cemented soil can vary significantly in different affiliation forms between soil particles and calcite precipitates [9], which can be calculated by (1 ) G0 = ρV2s , where G0 is the small strain shear modulus, ρ is the overall sample density, and Vs is the shear wave velocity. Uniform surface coating assumption of the calcite precipitates on coarse-grained soils prevails decades ago [10, 11]. Precipitations at particle contacts and pore filling are also considered alternative affiliation forms on coarse-grained soils [6, 12-15]. The effect of spatial variability on the evolution of Vs is further revealed through both column tests and microstructural experiments. Bate et al. [16] employed spectral-induced polarization (SIP) to quantify both the content and the size of calcite clusters. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS) revealed the preferential precipitation of calcite at the particle contacting area [16-18], while the pore throat area and pore void were occupied by calcite, especially at high calcite content [6, 15]. In field applications, spatial variability prevails and still poses challenges for engineering applications [19-22]. Due to the natural spatial variability of calcite inclusion, quantification of the geotechnical properties has not been sufficiently investigated. Recently, the discrete element method (DEM) has gained popularity in predicting the geotechnical properties of soil enhanced using microbially induced carbonate precipitation (MICP) [12, 23-26]. With the advancement in the DEM technique, spatial variability of calcite inclusion was investigated. For example, Wu et al. [12] proposed a novel DEM modeling scheme to reproduce various precipitation patterns of calcite and quantitatively investigated the microstructural characteristics and their evolution upon external loading. They classified the initial interparticle bonds into effective, partially effective, surface coating, and pore filling. Sun et al. [23] demonstrated that the Vs increased with the connectivity of the calcite aggregation cluster. However, DEM simulation of the spatial variability of calcite inclusion is very limited but highly desired. The Monte Carlo method, known as random sampling or statistical testing method, unveils fundamental mechanisms via statistical analysis of the many instances or realizations of a stochastic process or state. By setting random numbers to simulate various physical processes, population properties can be inferred from samples. Zhou et al. [27] used the Monte Carlo method to address parameter uncertainty problems and produce a spatial slope failure probability distribution map. Saifuddin et al. [28] examined the applicability of the Markov2 75 chain Monte Carlo method in inversions of surface-wave phase velocity, obtaining a variation of S-wave velocity profiles from the inversion. Ma et al. [29] combined the Monte Carlo method with the fictitious domain method to improve the accuracy of the hydrodynamic force acting on the particle in a viscous fluid. In this paper, we used a combined DEM and Monte Carlo method to randomize the spatial distribution of calcite precipitation based on the authors’ prior research [23]. 80 85 The following tasks were conducted to quantify the sand stiffness variability induced by stochastic distributions of calcite precipitates: (1) A total of 1972 DEM models were established to account for the spatial variability of the calcite precipitates based on a proposed Discrete Element-Monte Carlo (DE-MC) method. (2) Interval prediction and confidence interval estimation were performed for the estimator Vs, and statistical analysis was carried out. (3) The correlation analysis between several contact-related features and Vs was conducted. (4) A quantified formula between Cd,n and Vs was fitted based on the results of DE-MC simulation. 2 The proposed Discrete Element-Monte Carlo (DE-MC) method DEM Simulation System Start Establish the DEM model of cementing sand soil and define paramters Identify the design space: the distribution characteristic of calcite (CaCO3Ps and CaCO 3-Cs) during cementation sample in different groups ① Define a ran dom variable X see d to represent t he rand om distribution characteristic of CaCO3-Ps (Xp) and CaCO 3-Cs (Xc) in each group Monte-Carlo Process 95 ② Gen erate a set of n sample groups, whi ch is 1 16 in this stud y, wit h different random seeds (Xseed) ③ Sol ve V s and V s ~, as well as analyze mean and sta ndard deviation of Vs statistically Joint stochastic -analysis 90 2.1 Overview of the DE-MC method Given the variability in the spatial distribution of calcite cementation within the sand matrix, variations in shear wave velocity (Vs) are to be expected but have not been quantified. In this case, the Monte-Carlo method could be applied in the quantitative prediction and interval estimation of Vs. In this paper, a Discrete Element-Monte Carlo (DE-MC) method was proposed, which consists of DEM simulation, Monte-Carlo process, and joint stochastic analysis (Fig. 1). A total of 116 groups of randomized calcite distribution were established, with 17 calcite content samples in each group. Conduct stochastic analysis based on both DEM simulation and MonteCarlo method 3 Fig. 1 Procedures of Monte-Carlo simulation in this study [30, 31] 2.2 DEM simulation 100 105 110 115 2.2.1 Virtual entity of generated calcite in the DEM model In the EICP experiment, newly generated calcite cementing sand soil was transferred from a sample with a single uncemented contact model to a sand-calcite mixture [13, 16, 32]. The generated sand-calcite mixture sample, which contained two calcite precipitate forms: CaCO3P and CaCO3-C [23], had the following characteristics: a. the calcite appeared as a small nonspherical entity; b. the formation space of calcite cementation was limited; c. the ratios of sand and calcite content were extremely uneven (Fig. 2a,b). Thus, an innovative DEM sample generation method, the virtual entity method, was adopted rather than traditional direct generation methods. In the DEM simulation, to be specific, Hertz-Mindlin model was used for sand-sand contacts due to the incompressible and unbonded nature of sand; linear parallel bond model (Linearpbond) was used to characterize the single calcite precipitate (CaCO3-P, Fig. 2c) and calcite aggregation (CaCO3-C, Fig. 2d), considering the model is appropriate for simulating finite-sized pieces of cement-like materials [33, 34]. The DEM model generated calcite by changing the original contact model between sand particles, and a toroidal model was used to calculate the mass and volume. Since sand particles were simulated as elastic spheres in the DEM, the toroidal model was applied with the cylindrical assumption of calcite precipitates at particle contacts (contact cementation association pattern) in prior research (Fig. 3, Eq. 2), which is elaborated by EDS image and theoretical calculation [13, 23, 35, 36]. The total volume of calcite precipitation at particle contacts was calculated using the toroidal assumption, as elaborated in a prior study [23] by 120 Fig. 2 (a) EDS image: Si-green color and Ca-purple color, (b)SEM image: example of sand-calcite clusters, (c)(d) precipitate forms in DEM model, blue denotes pure sand, orange denotes sand-calcite clusters, black denotes Hertz-Mindlin contact and red denotes Linearpbond contact. 4 125 Fig. 3 Calculation of particle cementation volume. hi = vcntct = dc 130 135 140 145 150 di 2 hi - d 1 - cos arcsin c di , d2i dc dc di arcsin - hi 4 di 2 2 , (2) where hi = [h1, h2], which denotes the height of the toroidal area of each disk; di = [d1, d2], which denotes the diametral sizes of the two disks; dc is the cementation diameter; vcntct is total cementation volume. By changing the original contact model between sand particles, the virtual entity method is able to break through the limitation of basic physical properties of cementation such as mass, volume, and shape, so that it can be applied with high degrees of freedom in DEM simulation where only spherical particles can be generated. The validity of objective DEM modeling relies on the rationality of condition setting and parameter selection. SEM images from previous studies provide distribution and morphological characteristics of cementation [16, 23]; Bender element measurement provides data on Vs for calibrating microscopic parameters; SIP provides size information of cementation. These prerequisites enable cementation to exist as a virtual entity and yield nature-like experimental results. 2.2.2 Sample preparation A 2D rectangular stripe (height × width = 0.3 m × 0.1 m) with rigid, frictionless walls was created in PFC2D, within which particles (expressed as disks) were then generated by a fivestep expansion method, reaching the two-dimensional porosity of 0.192 [23]. A vertical stress of 5 kPa under the plane strain condition was then applied using a rigid servo system. Following this, a high-damping boundary (α=1.0) was set in this model to simulate the continuous medium, enabling the dynamic effect to conform to the actual propagation law [37]. The parameters used in the model are listed in Table 1. For the measurement of Vs, a pair of virtual “walls” with a coefficient of friction of 0.7, called the transmitter and the receiver, were set in the samples at a distance of 0.1m (Fig. 4) [38]. A sinusoidal velocity pulse ( v0 = 5(1.0 cos ( 2πft)) m/s) with the excitation frequency (f) close to the natural frequency of the sample was applied to the transmitter in the y-direction, aiming to maximize the received vibration signal and to minimize the errors caused by noises and P-waves [39, 40]. The received vibration 5 at the receiver end was recorded for Vs calculation. Table 1 Parameters of the sample in the DEM model Parameter Sand CaCO3 Sample Diameter (mm) - - Shear modulus (Pa) 2.12-3 6.5×1011 - - Poisson ratio Density (kg/m3) Friction coefficient 0.25 2650 0.5 - Tensile strength (Pa) - 2600 0.5 5.0×109 Cohesion - 2.0×1010 - Effective modulus (Pa) - 8.0×1010 - Viscous damping factor Local damping factor Relative density Porosity Lab Porosity 2D Confining pressure (kPa) Soil density (kg/m3) 0 0.3 - - 0.85 0.37 0.192 5 1659 - 155 Fig. 4 Shear wave measurement in the DEM model 160 165 CaCO3-P (represents individual calcite precipitation) was assigned to contacts when calcite content was below 1%, beyond which CaCO3-C (represents calcite aggregation) was assigned. The quantity of CaCO3-P precipitation at particle contacts increases with calcite content increment, while CaCO3-C only forms when calcite content exceeds 1%. In this study, the formation of calcite precipitates was achieved by randomly adjusting the contact model at local contacts with the precipitates [23] (Fig. 5). Based on an experimental study, the simplified size of CaCO3-P and CaCO3-C in the DEM model are 1.06mm/1.33mm and 12mm respectively [23]. 6 Fig. 5 Cemented sample (Blue denotes pure sand, orange denotes sand coated with CaCO3-C, and red denotes CaCO3 in the model figures) 170 175 180 185 190 195 2.3 Monte Carlo algorithm process The detailed Monte-Carlo simulation process is as follows: (1) Construct probability process. Unlike the single uncertain variable of most Monte-Carlo simulations, double variables in this study—the distribution characteristic of CaCO3-Ps (Xp) and CaCO3-Cs (Xc)—had a complex interrelation spatially and quantitatively under a certain calcite content [30, 41]. To address this challenge, a fundamental tool for Monte Carlo simulation, the random-seed variable (Xseed), was employed in the FISH Function to generate the Xp and Xc. The FISH Function is the only object that can be executed in the FISH (an embedded programming language within PFC) to manipulate DEM samples. In this way, the simple Xseed representing the overall random distribution of calcite cementation, can be executed instead of the Xp and Xc representing the random distribution characteristic of the two calcite forms in each sample group (Eq. 3). The methodology adopted in this study is outlined with reference to a prior study [23]. This redefinition simplified the generation of randomized 116 sample groups. (2) Sample from a known probability distribution. Given that the calcite generation was evenly distributed within the region, Xp and Xc, represented by Xseed, also followed a uniform distribution. The sample matrix was set to represent the relationship among samples, variables, and estimators (Eq. 4). In Matrix 1, total m*n samples were generated, where the number of columns (n) represents the number of groups of samples, and the number of rows (m) represents the sample numbering in each group. Matrix 2 indicated mathematically that each sample was determined by two variables -- Xseed for n and CaCO3% for m. Through modeling each sample in Matrix 2, the Vs estimator matrix can be achieved as shown in Matrix 3. In this study, n=116 and 116 Xseed were allocated to 116 DEM sample groups to simulate the Vs. (3) Solve and analyze estimators Vs. Vs was measured as the target estimator in the process, and the corresponding confidence interval was obtained. Statistically, the relationship between estimators Vs and uncertain variables (Xp, Xc), as well as the mean and standard deviation of Vs, ought to be analyzed. Table 2 Calcite contents and excitation frequencies of 116 groups m* 1 CaCO3% Frequency(kHz) 0 4 7 m* CaCO3% Frequency(kHz) 10 2.55 8 2 3 4 5 0.11 0.23 0.34 0.45 4 5 7 8 11 12 13 14 3.17 4 5 6 8 10 15 20 6 7 8 9 0.55 0.66 1.24 1.88 8 8 8 8 15 16 17 7 8 9 25 25 25 The m refers to the sample numbering. 200 Sn-m =F(Xseedn ,CaCO3 %)=F Xc ,Xp = pp Xp , CaCO3 %≤0.66% pc Xc , CaCO3 %>0.66% (3 ) , Sn-m refers to the sample with sample number m in the nth group; Xp and Xc are the distribution characteristic of CaCO3-Ps and CaCO3-Cs, respectively; pp and pc are the variation coefficients of CaCO3-Ps and CaCO3-Cs, respectively. 205 210 215 S1-1 S2-1 ⋯ Sn-1 F(Xseed1 ,0) F(Xseed2 ,0) ⋯ F(Xseedn ,0) Vs1-1 Vs2-1 ⋯ Vsn-1 ⎛ ⋮ ⎜ ⎜ S1-m ⎜ ⋮ ⋮ ⋱ ⋱ ⋯ Vs2-m ⋯ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⎛ ⋮ ⎜ ⎜ Vs1-m ⎜ ⋮ ⋱ F(Xseed2 ,CaCO3 %) ⎞ ⎟ F(Xseedn ,CaCO3 %)⎟ ⎟ ⋮ ⋮ ⋯ ⎛ ⋮ ⎜ ⎜F(Xseed1 ,CaCO3 %) ⎜ ⋮ ⋮ S2-m ⋮ ⎞ ⎟ Sn-m ⎟ ⎟ ⋮ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⎞ ⎟ Vsn-m ⎟ ⎟ ⋮ ⎝S1-17 S2-17 ⋯ Sn-17 ⎠ F(Xseed1 ,9%) F(Xseed2 ,9%) ⋯ F(Xseedn ,9%) ⎝Vs1-17 Vs2-17 ⋯ Vsn-17 ⎠ Matrix 1: sample number = ⎝ ⋮ ⎠ Matrix 2: model expression ~ (4) Matrix 3: the estimator The particle packing of an uncemented sand matrix was selected for all 1972 samples to eliminate variations in Vs caused by contact arrangements. In addition, the post-processing and data calculation could be simplified by using the same initial particle packing in the preceding DEM simulation. Shear wave measurements were performed on these samples after reaching equilibrium. 2.4 Joint stochastic-analysis In the joint stochastic analysis, the random distribution of macro-level Vs and the variation of micro-spatial cementation are described to estimate the evolution interval of Vs and interpret the relation between shear wave velocity and spatial variability. A Jarque-Bera test was used to test the normal goodness of fit for the Vs distribution, which was based on the sample skewness and kurtosis [42]. The test statistics were defined as: 220 S2 (K-3)2 JB= + , 6/n 24/n 1 n ∑i=1(xi -x)3 μ3 n S= = , 3/2 σ3 1 n 2 ∑ (x -x) n i=1 i 8 (5) (6) 1 n ∑i=1(xi -x)4 n K= = , 4/2 σ4 1 n 2 ∑ (x -x) n i=1 i μ4 225 230 235 240 (7) where n is the number of samples, S is the sample skewness, and K is the sample kurtosis. The skewness and kurtosis of a standard normal distribution are 0 and 3, respectively. The hypothesis was that the Vs of different calcite content obeyed a normal distribution with unknown mean and variance, which were tested using the sample skewness and kurtosis. Moreover, the Vs results were considered not to follow a normal distribution if the random value of the 2-freedom chi-square distribution (P-value) for the test statistics was less than 5%. Quantifying spatial distribution variability in Vs typically requires thousands of Monte Carlo samples, which is computationally intensive, time-consuming and lacks theoretical background. An indicator, the normalized connectivity per unity distance(Cd,n), was introduced to represent the connectivity of the sample [23]. The DEM model can be seen as a weighted undirected graph by graph theory with weighting systems on Linearpbond contacts and Hertz contacts, in which vertexes and edges symbolize particles and contacts, respectively. The shortest path (also known as preferential propagation path in the DEM model) and weighted shortest distance (also known as shortest propagation distance in the DEM model) from the transmitter to the receiver can be calculated by Dijkstra's algorithm in reference to the prior study [23]. A preliminary indicator, Cd, was used to represent the weighted shortest propagation distance. However, Cd represents absolute distance, which cannot allow quantitative comparison of samples with different sizes. The Cd,n, normalizing the shortest propagation distance to represent the connectivity of all samples, was thereby introduced and defined as [23]: 1 ωh = 2/3 C , (8) 1 ωLPB = C Cd = ω Nh + ωLPB NLPB ⎧ L ⎪ Cd - ωLPB ( - 1) d50 , (9) ⎨Cd, n = L L ⎪ ω ( - 1) - ωLPB ( - 1) d50 d50 ⎩ 245 250 where C is the coordination number in the sample; ωh and ωLPB are weights of Hertz contacts and Linearpbond contacts; Nh and NLPB are the numbers of the Hertz contact model and the Linearpbond model, respectively; L is the distance between the transmitter and the receiver; Cd is the connectivity, represented as the weighted shortest path; Cd,n is the normalized connectivity per unity distance, represented as the normalized weighted shortest path. A lower value of Cd,n indicates a shorter preferential propagation path and greater connectivity. 9 3 Results 3.1 Sensitivity analysis 255 ×100 260 3.1.1 Peak-to-peak time determination Shear wave velocity (Vs) was determined by dividing the propagation distance (0.1m) by the time. A comparison between the peak-to-peak and first-arrival time methods (Fig. 6) revealed that the Vs calculated by both two methods were steady at low frequency (<8kHz). However, the determination of shear wave propagation time using the first arrival method is subjective due to the influence of near-field effects (i.e., compression waves and reflected shear waves) [43]. Although both the two methods exhibited some dispersion at high frequency (>16kHz), it was particularly pronounced in the first arrival method. Therefore, the peak-to-peak method was selected in the subsequent analysis. 30 0.66% Peak-Peak 25 3.17% Peak-Peak 6% Peak-Peak Vs (m/s) 20 8% Peak-Peak 0.66% First Arrival 15 3.17% First Arrival 6% First Arrival 10 8% First Arrival 5 0 1 10 Excitation Frequency (kHz) 100 Fig. 6 Vs measured by two methods under four typical calcite content (0.66%, 3.17%, 6%, 8%) 265 270 275 3.1.2 Damping coefficients In DEM simulation, damping contains two components, the viscous damping coefficient and local damping coefficient. The former is not applicable to dry, non-viscous materials, so it was set to 0 to avoid a reduction in output frequency. The range of the latter of [0.1, 0.7] was tested in DEM simulations (Fig. 7a). Using experimentally measured shear wave velocity (Vs,exp) from a prior study [16], an optimal damping coefficient was determined as follows. Compared with the experimentally measured arrival time (tar, calculated by Vs,exp), local damping coefficients exceeding 0.3 delayed wave arrival (Fig. 7a). However, high-frequency noise appeared at α<0.2 (Fig. 7b). In view of the above results, the local damping factor (α) was set to 0.3, and the damping ratio was D = α⁄π =0.095 , which was within the small-strain damping ratios of cemented sands of [0.02, 0.15] (Fig. 8) [44, 45]. 10 Fig. 7 Signals of the receiver under CaCO3% = 0.11% (a) and 0.66% (b) with local damping factors (α) of [0.1, 0.7]; tar, L, Vs, exp are the wave propagation time, propagation distance and Vs from experiments [16]. 280 Fig. 8 Damping ratio and cementation content relationships [44-46] 285 290 295 3.1.3 Excitation frequency It was observed that Vs was greatly affected by different excitation frequencies in both experiments and simulations [47-49]. Sets of samples with four calcite contents were tested for sensitivity analysis of excitation frequency (Fig. 9). For samples of the same calcite content, varying excitation frequencies could cause differences in the calculated Vs, with a maximum variation of 358m/s at 8% CaCO3. This variation, attributed to wave dispersion, was particularly obvious when the cementation content was high, significantly impacting both experimental and simulation results. Therefore, characterizing the relationship properly between input and output frequencies is essential to accurately determine Vs [48, 50]. The input frequency should fall within the range of its linear relationship with the output frequency, and thus this threshold can be considered a reasonable input frequency [48]. For the same sample of four different calcite contents, it was found that the input and output frequencies could be well matched when the excitation frequencies of the samples were selected as 8kHz, 8kHz, 20kHz, and 25kHz, and their frequencies fell within the reasonable threshold (Fig. 9), which meant that the cementation content is positively correlated with the inherent frequency of the sample. Excitation frequencies near the inherent frequencies of each calcite content group were used (Table 2). The propagation distance (L) and excitation frequency used in the shear wave 11 300 simulation ought to be both satisfied by λ/d50 < 10 and L/λ > 2, where λ is the wavelength and d50 is the median particle size [38, 48] Fig. 9 Excitation frequency characterization of samples with different calcium carbonate content 3.2 Evidence from DE-MC 305 310 315 320 3.2.1 Macro-level results of DE-MC: Typical Vs vs CaCO3% relationship The stochastic analysis results of Vs in the DE-MC are shown in Table 3, Fig. 10, and Fig. 11. The growth of shear wave velocity can be divided into four stages (Sun et al., 2022): (1) In Stage I (CaCO3 ≤ 0.66%, CaCO3-P only), the mean Vs increased monotonically with the calcite content at a rate of 308.98m/s, as evidenced by the slope. The Vs frequency histograms displayed a normal distribution with a variance of [9.76, 35.49]. Samples in Stage I demonstrated positive skewness, implying a higher dispersion above the mean Vs and aggregation in the low-speed region. (2) In Stage II (0.66%≤ CaCO3 ≤ 2.55%, CaCO3-C appeared), the Vs increased slower than Stage I, at a rate of 164.62m/s. The variance was [62.38, 171.20]. The kurtosis exceeded twice that of the standard normal distribution, indicating a deviation from normality. It suggested that, despite the generation of cemented clusters, the spatial variability was slight, and Vs remained relatively unaffected. Furthermore, the histograms had a positive (left) skew distribution, suggesting that a small number of samples exhibited high-speed regions, likely due to the formation of calcite clusters that facilitated wave propagation. (3) In Stage III (2.55%≤ CaCO3 ≤ 6%), the increasing rate of Vs was 262.18m/s, which was the highest of the four stages. The Vs frequency histograms displayed a normal distribution with a variance of [220.15, 260.74]. (4) In Stage IV (6%≤ CaCO3 ≤ 9%), the increasing rate was reduced to 189.81m/s. The histograms displayed a normal distribution, and the variance was [137.91, 203.39]. Samples in Stage IV demonstrated negative skewness, implying a higher dispersion below the mean Vs and aggregation in the high-speed region. In summary, the actual Vs for calcium carbonate reinforcement tended to be lower than the 12 325 predicted velocity in Stages I and II, and slightly higher than that in Stage IV. Table 3 Vs distribution of samples with different calcite content Stage Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ CaCO3% Vs (m/s) Standard deviation(m/s) Skewness Kurtosis Normal distribution 0.11 0.23 0.34 0.45 0.55 0.66 1.24 1.88 2.55 3.17 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 210.40 227.78 248.97 282.13 322.39 380.34 447.77 525.58 640.11 765.48 958.21 1211.31 1482.56 1756.64 1974.69 2136.25 9.76 14.22 18.29 22.98 24.89 35.49 62.38 92.21 124.69 171.20 220.15 260.74 238.12 203.39 154.59 137.91 -0.13 0.16 0.67 0.91 0.68 0.38 1.77 1.48 1.20 1.44 0.64 0.36 -0.15 -0.19 -0.34 -0.70 2.77 4.15 3.93 6.49 3.75 3.24 11.97 6.36 5.68 6.75 3.09 2.60 2.49 3.11 2.89 3.47 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ × × × × ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ Fig. 10 Variation range of Vs [16, 51] 13 330 335 340 Fig. 11 Vs frequency histogram with different calcium carbonate content. The red line is the normal distribution fitting curve 3.2.2 Micro-scope spatial distribution of calcite-sand clusters A close look at the shear wave propagation path could reveal influencing factors at the particle contact level. Three samples at 5% calcite content showed three preferential paths through which the shear wave arrived at the receiving end first (Fig. 10, Fig. 12). The optimal path of Sample 1 passed through the most calcite clusters and had the longest consecutive Linearpbond contact length, with the measured Vs of 1700m/s; although the optimal path of Sample 2 passed through most calcite clusters, there was a node remained uncemented, resulting in a continuous Linearpbond contact length shorter than that of Sample 1, with the measured Vs of 1255m/s; the optimal path of Sample 3 passes through the least number of calcite clusters, and there were four nodes remained uncemented, resulting in the shortest continuous Linearpbond contact length, with the measured Vs of 838m/s. Through the comparison of the above three paths, it can be seen that the larger the proportion of calcite clusters (Linearpbond contact) and the continuous Linearpbond contact length, the faster the transmission of the shear wave. 14 345 Fig. 12 Distribution of calcite-sand clusters in Samples 1, 2, and 3 at 5% calcite content. Black lines indicate the optimal wave propagation paths; red arrows indicate uncemented particles; Cd,n refers to the normalized coordination number along the shear wave propagation path [23]. 4 Discussion 350 355 360 365 4.1 Significance and implications The Monte-Carlo application verified the rationality of the DEM simulation of calcitecemented samples. Plenty of sample data also revealed evidence at the macro and micro levels. Based on the constructed sample dataset and valid sample generation method, features of quantifying spatial variability of calcite precipitates and relations between macro-level Vs and micro-level Cd,n can be further discussed. 4.2 Feature correlation analysis The validity of Cd,n characterizing Vs can be evaluated based on the dataset constructed from 1972 samples. The lists of transmitters and receivers of 1972 samples were traversed, and Dijkstra’s algorithm was used to calculate the optimal path of each sample. A Pearson correlation analysis was carried out of the eight contact-related features and the target value Vs (Fig. 13). The features pertaining to the Linearpbond contact were all strongly positively correlated with Vs (>0.8), with QLLC exhibiting the highest correlation. This indicates that continuous cementation contributed more to the increase in Vs than dispersed cementation. However, it is worth noting that QLLC was an absolute variable and may not be applicable when parameters such as wave propagation distance and particle size change. Therefore, characterization indicators should be chosen from relative variables, including LP, PLLC and Cd,n, rather than absolute features. Among these relative values, Cd,n exhibited the strongest correlation with Vs, suggesting that the contact weight, based on physical significance, is a 15 reasonable means of characterizing Vs. 370 Fig. 13 Correlation analysis between features and Vs. (a) Correlation matrix; (b) An example sample shortest propagation path; (c) The feature definitions and examples 375 380 385 390 4.3 Quantitative characterization of Cd,n-Vs Since Cd,n represented the characteristic of the shortest distance in the microscopic scope, the empirical relationship of Cd,n-Vs can quantify the contribution of calcite cementation, predict Vs, and analyze sample variability. The first step to calculate Cd,n was selecting the weights of contacts. The above weights result was calculated by the coordination number, which was based on physical meaning (Eq. 8). More samples provided statistics information to select weights based on the Monte-Carlo method. The optimal values and appropriate intervals for the contact model weight can be calculated using the Monte-Carlo method, and the Cd,n-Vs correlation was found to be the most negative when the weight ratio is 0.83 (Fig. 14). The quantified Cd,n relationships based on physical meanings and the Monte-Carlo method were compared in Table 4. Both methods could characterize Vs without considering calcite content, but each had advantages and disadvantages. Weight selection based on physical meanings resulted in greater aggregation of wave velocity points, less error with the fitted curve, and more accurate Vs predictions, but the weights need to be recalculated in different simulations. The weights selected based on the Monte-Carlo method can be applied as constants, but the Vs of different samples were more discrete and less accurately predicted. Both weight selection results are applicable for using Cd,n to characterize Vs, and making reasonable predictions. 16 395 Fig. 14 The degree of correction between Cd,n and Vs under different ωLPB /ωh Table 4 Comparison of two methods of weight selection for contact model Based on Physical meanings Based on Monte-Carlo method ωh ωLPB Cd,n range 0.475 0.328 [0.145, 1.303] 1 0.83 [0.318, 1.643] Vs-Cd,n fitting equation Vs =623C-1.01 d,n -338 Vs =1415C-1.06 d,n -725 Vs-Cd,n fitting figure 400 405 5 Limitations and future work Though the DE-MC method provides significant evidence for studying sand stiffness variability induced by stochastic distributions of calcite precipitates, it also has several limitations in quantitative analysis. Firstly, all samples were kept in the same K0 stress state (i.e., the stress state was not considered); other microscopic features such as contact force, coordination number change, and force chain distribution were neglected. A recommended future direction was to expand the quantification of indicators like Cd,n to consider different stress states and incorporate the aforementioned microstructural features. Secondly, the sizes of samples and particles were fixed and the diversity was not enough. Therefore, the generalization ability of the Cd,n-Vs derived formula needs further verification. Further study can focus on building a more complete physical-informed database based on existing simulation methods, to solve the huge computational problem of traditional numerical methods. 17 410 415 6 Conclusions In this study, an innovative Discrete Element-Monte Carlo (DE-MC) method was applied in samples of calcite-cemented soil to quantify the sand stiffness variability induced by stochastic distributions of calcite precipitates. During the Monte Carlo process, a random variable Xseed represented the random distribution characteristic of CaCO3-Ps (Xp) and CaCO3-Cs (Xc) in different samples. A total of 1972 DEM samples were established. Cementation spatial distribution and Vs in the simulation were presented, and microscopic features were further constructed and analyzed. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) The Vs frequency histograms and 95% confidence intervals revealed the difference of Vs in different samples, which was attributed to the preferential paths caused by calcite-sand 420 clusters. Typically, the spatial distribution variability of calcite-sand clusters started to stand out in Stage II, and was the most obvious in Stage III, thereby leading to the significant distribution difference of Vs. (2) Contact-related features of the sample dominated preferential paths, which can predict Vs. The correlation between eight selected contact-related features and Vs was calculated. The 425 normalized connectivity per unity distance contact weight Cd,n was the most correlated among relative variables. (3) The availability of Cd,n was evaluated by weighting contacts to quantify the cementation contribution. A lower Cd,n value indicated greater connectivity and higher Vs. Two methods of weight selection, physical meanings and Monte-Carlo, were provided and compared, 430 both showing advantages in practical prediction. The fitted formulas are Vs =623C-1.01 d,n -338 and Vs =1415C-1.06 d,n -725, respectively. 435 440 Acknowledgments The work presented in this paper was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Award No.: 42177118), the Basic Science Center Program for Multiphase Evolution in Hypergravity of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Award No.: 51988101), and Hong Kong Research Grants Council (RGC) (No. 17200123). The authors would also like to acknowledge the MOE Key Laboratory of Soft Soils and Geo-environmental Engineering. References [1] D.-S. Cho, J. 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